The Horse Costume Problem
How the future is accidentally invented
experiments
How Test Engineers Decide What Counts as Good Enough
Gideon Lewis-Kraus reviews “Kobuk the Destroyer, and Other Tales from the Wild, Unseen World of Test Engineering,” by Alex Davies.
How a team learns to trust a quote it did not build - The Loadstar
Four in five air freight quotes on cargo.one now go out without human review. Here are the six patterns that build forwarder trust in AI quoting.
We have run enough of these deployments to see the same six patterns emerge.
Are Memories Transferable — or Edible? | Quanta Magazine
In the 1960s, worm-training experiments and their strange implications captivated the nation. Columnist Claire L. Evans follows the neuroscientists who attempted to recapture the magic.
In the 1960s, an eccentric behavioral psychologist named James McConnell convinced the scientific establishment that planarian worms, like Pavlov’s dogs, could be classically conditioned — and that memories of this training could be transferred from worm to worm through cannibalism. These bizarre…
Journey to Robbers Cave - Behavioral Scientist
On the heels of WWII, a team of psychologists set out to solve global conflict. Their lab? Boys summer camps. Their goal? Set the 11- and 12-year-old boys against one another to discover what, if anything, could restore peace. The result? One of psychology’s most enduring and…
intergroup conflict
manufacture conflict
In Praise of Observational Evidence
Everyone knows RCTs are the gold standard of evidence. ….Right?
It is a rare randomized trial (studying a particular intervention with a sufficiently large and well-distributed sample population) that can detect an 0.3% difference in a binary random variable — but Laplace could, more than 200 years ago.
You can be relatively sure that a p-value in one clinical trial conveys the same information as it does in another clinical trial, at least as far as the mathematical model is concerned.
Miller–Urey experiment - Wikipedia
Famous Cognitive Psychology Experiments that Failed to Replicate
A quick reference
How to Run Smart Experiments When You Just Don’t Know
How all good entrepreneurs run experiments at the earliest stages of a business, and how you can use this approach for your own career.
good ‘product conjectures’ have three properties:
They are debatable (that is, it is not immediately obvious that it would work). They are testable (the bet is verifiable using some kind of experiment). They are meaningful (the outcome of the bet, if it works, generates a meaningful impact on some output that leadership cares about).
How to Take Bigger, Bolder Product Bets — Lessons from Slack’s Chief Produc
Seasoned product leader and Slack’s CPO Noah Desai Weiss shares the three-step framework he leans on to make quality product decisions with just the right amount of risk.
3 pitfalls of PPC experiments
Knowing what to test and how to interpret the results based on nuances and oddities of experiments is an important skill for people, not automations.
Reforge
You Are Solving The Wrong Problem | UX Magazine
When solving a difficult problem, re-ask the problem so the solution helps you learn faster.
Building our Centralized Experimental Platform | Stitch Fix Technology – Multithreaded
Running an A/B test is easy. Screwing up an A/B test is even easier.
Why This Opportunity Solution Tree is Changing the Way Product Teams Work - Product Talk
Have you heard? My new book Continuous Discovery Habits is now available. Get the product trio's guide to a structured and sustainable approach to continuous discovery. I’ve found a visual […]
150 successful machine learning models: 6 lessons learned at Booking.com
Using Experiments to Launch New Products
Increasingly, companies are using experiments to guide them in their decision making—but many are still missing opportunities, or are failing to implement experiments well. When it comes to the rollout of new products, one particularly effective new kind of experiment involves…
https://t.co/jaEWMYfgXr?ssr=true
Be Wrong the Right Number of Times
Update, Dec 12, 2016: There is a follow up post discussing the outcome of all of this after the election results were known.